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    基于BO-LightGBM算法的SBM施工数据与岩体等级实时分类预测模型

    Real-Time Classification and Prediction of Rock Mass Classification Based on SBM Construction Data and BO-LightGBM Algorithm

    • 摘要: 为了实现对竖井掘进机(SBM)掘进过程中围岩体等级的实时预测,提出了一种基于贝叶斯优化(BO)与LightGBM相结合的岩体等级分类预测模型(BO-LightGBM).通过采集火山隧道竖井掘进机的工作数据和现场地质勘探数据,采用知识驱动与数据驱动结合的方法,筛选出5个特征参数,共获得31 200组实时数据作为模型输入特征,并引入Shapley方法(SHAP)对模型进行可解释性分析.模型计算结果表明:BO-LightGBM模型在岩体分类性能上优于贝叶斯优化随机森林(RF)模型和支持向量机(SVM)模型,预测准确率为94%,在验证集上的计算时间为0.61s,能够满足岩体等级实时预测的需求.通过对不同模型性能比较及SHAP方法分析解释,验证了所提算法的准确性和可解释性.

       

      Abstract: To predict the rock mass class of a shaft boring machine (SBM) in real-time.This study proposed a SBM rock mass classification prediction model based on the BO-LightGBM algorithm.Collecting operational data from the Volcano Tunnel’s SBM and on-site geological exploration data,a combined knowledge-driven and data-driven approach was employed to select 31 200 sets of real-time data across five feature parameters as input features.The Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method was used to analyze the interpretability of the algorithm.The prediction results show that the BO-LightGBM model has a better performance than Bayesian optimization random forest (RF) model and the support vector machine (SVM) model,the Bo-LightGBM model has an accuracy of 94%.The prediction time consumed of Bo-LightGBM model for the validation set is 0.61s,enabling real-time prediction of rock mass classification.The accuracy and interpretability of the proposed algorithm were verified through model performance comparison and SHAP method analysis.

       

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